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1.
Rev Esp Quimioter ; 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38606841

RESUMO

The increased knowledge on virology and the increased potential of their diagnostic has risen several relevant question about the role of an early viral diagnosis and potential early treatment on the management of respiratory tract infections (RTI). In order to further understand the role of viral diagnostic tests in the management of RTI, a panel of experts was convened to discuss about their potential role, beyond what had been agreed in Influenza. The objective of this panel was to define the plausible role of aetiologic viral diagnostic into clinical management; make recommendations on the potential expanded use of such tests in the future and define some gaps in the management of RTI. Molecular Infection Viral Diagnostic (mIVD) tests should be used in all adult patients admitted to Hospital with RTI, and in paediatric patients requiring admission or who would be referred to another hospital for more specialised care. The increased use of mIVD will not only reduce the inappropriate use of antibiotics so reducing the antibiotic microbe resistance, but also will improve the outcome of the patient if an aetiologic viral therapy can be warranted, saving resource requirements and improving patient flows. Implementing IVD testing in RTI has various organizational benefits as well, but expanding its use into clinical settings would need a cost-effectiveness strategy and budget impact assessment.

2.
World J Nephrol ; 13(1): 88967, 2024 Mar 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38596267

RESUMO

Non-descriptive and convenient labels are uninformative and unfairly project blame onto patients. The language clinicians use in the Electronic Medical Record, research, and clinical settings shapes biases and subsequent behaviors of all providers involved in the enterprise of transplantation. Terminology such as noncompliant and nonadherent serve as a reason for waitlist inactivation and limit access to life-saving transplantation. These labels fail to capture all the circumstances surrounding a patient's inability to follow their care regimen, trivialize social determinants of health variables, and bring unsubstantiated subjectivity into decisions regarding organ allocation. Furthermore, insufficient Medicare coverage has forced patients to ration or stop taking medication, leading to allograft failure and their subsequent diagnosis of noncompliant. We argue that perpetuating non-descriptive language adds little substantive information, increases subjectivity to the organ allocation process, and plays a major role in reduced access to transplantation. For patients with existing barriers to care, such as racial/ethnic minorities, these effects may be even more drastic. Transplant committees must ensure thorough documentation to correctly encapsulate the entirety of a patient's position and give voice to an already vulnerable population.

3.
Euro Surveill ; 29(16)2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38639093

RESUMO

BackgroundMpox, caused by monkeypox virus (MPXV), was considered a rare zoonotic disease before May 2022, when a global epidemic of cases in non-endemic countries led to the declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Cases of mpox in Ireland, a country without previous mpox reports, could reflect extended local transmission or multiple epidemiological introductions.AimTo elucidate the origins and molecular characteristics of MPXV circulating in Ireland between May 2022 and October 2023.MethodsWhole genome sequencing of MPXV from 75% of all Irish mpox cases (182/242) was performed and compared to sequences retrieved from public databases (n = 3,362). Bayesian approaches were used to infer divergence time between sequences from different subclades and evaluate putative importation events from other countries.ResultsOf 242 detected mpox cases, 99% were males (median age: 35 years; range: 15-60). All 182 analysed genomes were assigned to Clade IIb and, presence of 12 distinguishable subclades suggests multiple introductions into Ireland. Estimation of time to divergence of subclades further supports the hypothesis for multiple importation events from numerous countries, indicative of extended and sustained international spread of mpox. Further analysis of sequences revealed that 92% of nucleotide mutations were from cytosine to thymine (or from guanine to adenine), leading to a high number of non-synonymous mutations across subclades; mutations associated with tecovirimat resistance were not observed.ConclusionWe provide insights into the international transmission dynamics supporting multiple introductions of MPXV into Ireland. Such information supported the implementation of evidence-informed public health control measures.


Assuntos
Vírus da Varíola dos Macacos , Varíola dos Macacos , Masculino , Humanos , Adulto , Feminino , Irlanda/epidemiologia , Vírus da Varíola dos Macacos/genética , Teorema de Bayes , Varíola dos Macacos/diagnóstico , Varíola dos Macacos/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças
4.
JPEN J Parenter Enteral Nutr ; 48(3): 308-317, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38477359

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Risk of malnutrition and malnutrition have been previously associated with increased risk of mortality. It remains unclear, however, whether the severity of malnutrition differentiates in association with all-cause mortality. The aim was to assess the association between being at risk of malnutrition or being diagnosed with malnutrition according to the diagnostic assessment of the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) with all-cause mortality during a 2-year follow-up in hospitalized patients. METHODS: A matched cohort study was conducted in hospitalized patients (excluding cancer, intensive care, and transmissible infections) at a university hospital in Bergen, Norway. All patients underwent nutrition screening with the Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 and a further nutrition assessment using the GLIM criteria. All-cause mortality was estimated from the Norwegian death registry after 2 years, and risk factors were calculated by Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: Among 326 patients included, 55 patients died within 2 years (17% mortality rate). Risk of malnutrition was associated with increased all-cause mortality, which disappeared after adjustment for age and sex. Malnutrition was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality at 2 years also after adjustment for age and sex and, additionally, for further comorbidities (hazard ratio = 2.50; 95% CI, 1.41-4.42). When analyzed separately only severe malnutrition was associated with mortality (hazard ratio = 2.73; 95% CI, 1.44-5.15). CONCLUSION: The findings highlight a strong association between inpatients with severe malnutrition, defined by the GLIM criteria, and an increased risk of all-cause mortality within a 2-year follow-up.


Assuntos
Desnutrição , Humanos , Estudos de Coortes , Prognóstico , Desnutrição/complicações , Desnutrição/diagnóstico , Pacientes Internados , Noruega/epidemiologia , Estado Nutricional , Avaliação Nutricional
5.
J Travel Med ; 2024 Mar 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38438137

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Most paediatric tuberculosis (TB) cases in low-TB-incidence countries involve children born to migrant families. This may be partially explained by trips to their countries of origin for visiting friends and relatives (VFR). We aimed to estimate the risk of latent TB infection (LTBI) and TB in children VFR. METHODS: We conducted a prospective multicentric observational study in Catalonia (Spain) from 06/2017 to 12/2019. We enrolled children aged < 15 years with a negative tuberculin skin test (TST) at baseline and at least one parent from a high-TB-incidence country, and who had travelled to their parent's birth country for ≥21 days. TST and QuantiFERON-TB Gold Plus (QFT-Plus) were performed within 8-12 weeks post-return. LTBI was defined as a TST ≥5 mm and/or a positive QFT-Plus. RESULTS: Five hundred children completed the study, equivalent to 78.2 person-years of follow-up (PYFU). Thirteen children (2.6%) were diagnosed with LTBI (16.6/per100 PYFU,95%CI = 8.8-28.5), including two cases (0.4%) of TB (2.5/per100 PYFU, 95%CI = 0.3-9.3). LTBI incidence rates remained high after excluding BCG-vaccinated children (9.7/per100 PYFU,95%CI = 3.9-20.0). Household tobacco smoke exposure was associated with LTBI (aOR = 3.9, 95%CI = 1.1-13.3). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of LTBI in children VFR in high-TB-incidence countries may equal, or perhaps even exceed, the infection risk of the native population. The primary associated risk factor was the presence of smokers in the household. Furthermore, the incidence rate of active TB largely surpassed that of the countries visited. Children VFR in high-TB-incidence countries should be targeted for diagnostic and preventive interventions.

6.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 73(8): 175-179, 2024 Feb 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38421946

RESUMO

Surveillance data can provide rapid, within-season influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates to guide public health recommendations. Mandatory reporting of influenza vaccine administration to California's immunization information registry began January 1, 2023, and mandatory reporting of all influenza laboratory test results, including negative results, was instituted in California on June 15, 2023. These data, collected by the California Department of Public Health during October 1, 2023-January 31, 2024, were used to calculate interim influenza VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza by comparing the odds of vaccination among case-patients (persons who received a positive influenza laboratory test result) and control patients (those who received a negative influenza laboratory test result). VE was calculated as 1 - adjusted odds ratio using mixed-effects logistic regression, with age, race, and ethnicity as fixed effects and specimen collection week and county as random effects. Overall, during October 1, 2023-January 31, 2024, estimated VE was 45% among persons aged ≥6 months, 56% among children and adolescents aged 6 months-17 years, 48% among adults aged 18-49 years, 36% among those aged 50-64 years, and 30% among those aged ≥65 years. Consistent with some previous influenza seasons, influenza vaccination provided moderate protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza among infants, children, adolescents, and adults. All persons aged ≥6 months without a contraindication to vaccination should receive annual influenza vaccination to reduce influenza illness, severe influenza, and strain on health care resources. Influenza vaccination remains the best way to prevent influenza.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Lactente , Humanos , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Eficácia de Vacinas , Vacinação , California/epidemiologia
7.
Pediatr Transplant ; 28(1): e14697, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38317342

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In adults, pretransplant malignancy (PTM) negatively impacts patient survival due to immunosuppression regimens influencing post-transplantation tumor growth. Few reports investigate the outcomes of pediatric kidney transplantation with PTM. We compare transplant outcomes for pediatric patients with PTM to matched controls, including cancer types extending beyond Wilms tumor. METHODS: The United Network of Organ Sharing Database was queried to identify pediatric transplant recipients with histories of PTM. All PTM patients were matched to non-PTM patients, at a 1:1 ratio, with 0.001 match tolerance. Matching variables included transplant year, recipient age, recipient gender, recipient race, donor type, and prior transplant. Death-censored graft and patient survival were analyzed. All statistics were reported with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: After propensity matching, 285 PTM and 285 non-PTM patients were identified, with transplant dates from 1990 to 2020. Median Kidney Donor Profile Index values were comparable between cohorts, 17% and 12%, respectively (p = .065). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that PTM patients did not have a significantly different rate of death-censored graft failure, compared to the non-PTM group [HR 0.76; 95% CI (0.54-1.1)]. There was also no difference in the overall survival between the two groups of patients [HR 1.1; 95% CI (0.66-2.0)]. CONCLUSION: A history of pediatric malignancy has minimal independent effect on their post-transplant survival. Additionally, pediatric patients with PTM demonstrated equivalent rates of graft survival. Thus, in contrast to adults, renal failure in children with history of pediatric malignancies should not be considered a complicating factor for renal transplantation.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Renais , Transplante de Rim , Tumor de Wilms , Adulto , Humanos , Criança , Doadores de Tecidos , Fatores de Risco , Tumor de Wilms/complicações , Tumor de Wilms/cirurgia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Estudos Retrospectivos , Rejeição de Enxerto
8.
J Healthc Inform Res ; 8(1): 65-87, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38273984

RESUMO

Although most pregnancies result in a good outcome, complications are not uncommon and can be associated with serious implications for mothers and babies. Predictive modeling has the potential to improve outcomes through a better understanding of risk factors, heightened surveillance for high-risk patients, and more timely and appropriate interventions, thereby helping obstetricians deliver better care. We identify and study the most important risk factors for four types of pregnancy complications: (i) severe maternal morbidity, (ii) shoulder dystocia, (iii) preterm preeclampsia, and (iv) antepartum stillbirth. We use an Explainable Boosting Machine (EBM), a high-accuracy glass-box learning method, for the prediction and identification of important risk factors. We undertake external validation and perform an extensive robustness analysis of the EBM models. EBMs match the accuracy of other black-box ML methods, such as deep neural networks and random forests, and outperform logistic regression, while being more interpretable. EBMs prove to be robust. The interpretability of the EBM models reveal surprising insights into the features contributing to risk (e.g., maternal height is the second most important feature for shoulder dystocia) and may have potential for clinical application in the prediction and prevention of serious complications in pregnancy.

9.
J Surg Oncol ; 129(5): 939-944, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38221657

RESUMO

This study presents a new technique for robotic-assisted intracorporeal rectal transection and hand-sewn anastomosis for low anterior resection that overcomes some limitations of conventional techniques. By integrating the advantages of the robotic platform, ensuring standardized exposure during rectal transection, and emphasizing the importance of avoiding complications associated with staple crossings, this innovation has the potential to significantly improve outcomes and reduce costs for patients with lower rectal tumors.


Assuntos
Laparoscopia , Neoplasias Retais , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Robóticos , Humanos , Laparoscopia/métodos , Reto/cirurgia , Reto/patologia , Anastomose Cirúrgica/métodos , Neoplasias Retais/cirurgia , Neoplasias Retais/patologia
10.
Folia Phoniatr Logop ; 76(1): 68-76, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37487470

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Voice disorders and burnout syndrome are common among teachers. This study aimed to explore the relationship among vocal problems, burnout syndrome, and some personal work factors. METHODS: This cross-sectional descriptive study enrolled 90 nonuniversity teachers who completed the Multidimensional Vocal Scale for Teachers (EVM-D) to evaluate vocal problems and an adapted Spanish version of the Maslach Burnout Inventory-Educators Survey (MBI-ES) to detect burnout syndrome. RESULTS: Overall, 16% of teachers expressed symptoms compatible with burnout, and 60% of them were in the interval above the 75th percentile of the EVM-D, i.e., they had a high risk of vocal problems. An association between burnout and more vocal problems was established among teachers, particularly between the vocal symptoms and vocal abuse dimensions with the emotional exhaustion subscale of the MBI-ES. A history of anxiety/depression and fewer years of professional experience were associated with more vocal problems. The burnout group perceived more "loss of vocal power," "vocal fatigue," "vocal effort," and "hoarseness." Vocal abuse items received the highest scores of EVM-D. However, only "shouting" in the classroom was significantly different between the groups with and without burnout. CONCLUSION: Emotional exhaustion of burnout syndrome, history of anxiety/depression, and a shorter professional experience were associated with vocal problems, which could limit the performance of teachers. Reducing classroom noise, establishing strategies to avoid shouting, or strengthening personal accomplishments in teachers could be useful in breaking the cycle of vocal problems and emotional exhaustion, particularly at the beginning of their professional experience.


Assuntos
Esgotamento Profissional , Testes Psicológicos , Autorrelato , Distúrbios da Voz , Humanos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Inquéritos e Questionários , Esgotamento Profissional/epidemiologia , Esgotamento Profissional/diagnóstico , Esgotamento Profissional/psicologia , Distúrbios da Voz/epidemiologia , Distúrbios da Voz/etiologia
12.
J Water Health ; 21(9): 1303-1317, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37756197

RESUMO

Monitoring for COVID-19 through wastewater has been used for adjunctive public health surveillance, with SARS-CoV-2 viral concentrations in wastewater correlating with incident cases in the same sewershed. However, the generalizability of these findings across sewersheds, laboratory methods, and time periods with changing variants and underlying population immunity has not been well described. The California Department of Public Health partnered with six wastewater treatment plants starting in January 2021 to monitor wastewater for SARS-CoV-2, with analyses performed at four laboratories. Using reported PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases within each sewershed, the relationship between case incidence rates and wastewater concentrations collected over 14 months was evaluated using Spearman's correlation and linear regression. Strong correlations were observed when wastewater concentrations and incidence rates were averaged (10- and 7-day moving window for wastewater and cases, respectively, ρ = 0.73-0.98 for N1 gene target). Correlations remained strong across three time periods with distinct circulating variants and vaccination rates (winter 2020-2021/Alpha, summer 2021/Delta, and winter 2021-2022/Omicron). Linear regression revealed that slopes of associations varied by the dominant variant of concern, sewershed, and laboratory (ß = 0.45-1.94). These findings support wastewater surveillance as an adjunctive public health tool to monitor SARS-CoV-2 community trends.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Águas Residuárias , Incidência , Vigilância Epidemiológica Baseada em Águas Residuárias , California/epidemiologia
13.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(9): ofad415, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37674629

RESUMO

Background: Uptake of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) bivalent vaccines and the oral medication nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid) has remained low across the United States. Assessing the public health impact of increasing uptake of these interventions in key risk groups can guide further public health resources and policy and determine what proportion of severe COVID-19 is avertable with these interventions. Methods: This modeling study used person-level data from the California Department of Public Health on COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and vaccine administration from 23 July 2022 to 23 January 2023. We used a quasi-Poisson regression model calibrated to recent historical data to predict future COVID-19 outcomes and modeled the impact of increasing uptake (up to 70% coverage) of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir during acute illness in different risk groups. Risk groups were defined by age (≥50, ≥65, ≥75 years) and vaccination status (everyone, primary series only, previously vaccinated). We predicted the number of averted COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths and number needed to treat (NNT). Results: The model predicted that increased uptake of bivalent COVID-19 boosters and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (up to 70% coverage) in all eligible persons could avert an estimated 15.7% (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 11.2%-20.7%; NNT: 17 310) and 23.5% (95% UI, 13.1%-30.0%; NNT: 67) of total COVID-19-related deaths, respectively. In the high-risk group of persons ≥65 years old alone, increased uptake of bivalent boosters and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir could avert an estimated 11.9% (95% UI, 8.4%-15.1%; NNT: 2757) and 22.8% (95% UI, 12.7%-29.2%; NNT: 50) of total COVID-19-related deaths, respectively. Conclusions: These findings suggest that prioritizing uptake of bivalent boosters and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir among older age groups (≥65 years) would be most effective (based on NNT) but would not address the entire burden of severe COVID-19.

14.
Explor Res Clin Soc Pharm ; 12: 100330, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37743852

RESUMO

Background: Prevalence of type 2 diabetes is high in Belgium (estimated at over 10%, 1 patient out of 3 being unaware of their diagnosis). Management based on a change of lifestyle and the adoption of health-promoting behaviors, supplemented when needed with drug treatment, prevents complications, improves the patient's quality of life and reduces mortality. Multidisciplinary patient support is essential. In this, pharmacists have a key role, e.g. through therapeutic patient education activities, in which they are increasingly involved. Moreover, research suggests that the use of mobile technologies can be a useful tool for helping patients with their daily life and disease management. Objectives: This study aims at exploring the benefits of community pharmacist follow-up supported by the use of mobile technologies in the monitoring of individuals with type 2 diabetes. The presented intervention aimed to reinforce the patients' willingness to actively participate in the management of their disease and to adopt favorable health behaviors, in order to increase their level of medication adherence. Methods: A quantitative quasi-experimental study was conducted in community pharmacies throughout Belgium over a 6-month period with 3 data collection periods (before, during and after the intervention). Primary outcomes, related to the level of medication adherence, and secondary outcomes, considered as markers of the patient's overall health, were analyzed. In addition, qualitative data concerning participants' opinions on their experience were collected. Results: 66 patients participated in the study, with 50 remaining after 3 months and 46 completing the entire study. Statistical analyses did not show an improvement in the level of medication adherence. This parameter was high from the beginning, reflecting patients with controlled diabetes. However, statistically significant results were observed for systolic blood pressure and waist circumference (both improved), while other outcomes showed a positive trend or remained stable. Patient follow-up by the pharmacist was a positive experience for both parties which noted their interest and satisfaction for the project. Conclusions: Although clinical results are not conclusive, patients were motivated and the attrition rate was low. Participants showed their interest in participating in this kind of project, opening up opportunities for further studies in the community pharmacy setting. As front-line health professionals, community pharmacists certainly have a key-role to play in therapeutic patient education and mobile technologies could be additional tools in this process.

15.
PLoS One ; 18(9): e0291678, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37729332

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants have the potential to impact vaccine effectiveness and duration of vaccine-derived immunity. We analyzed U.S. multi-jurisdictional COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough surveillance data to examine potential waning of protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection for the Pfizer-BioNTech (BNT162b) primary vaccination series by age. METHODS: Weekly numbers of SARS-CoV-2 infections during January 16, 2022-May 28, 2022 were analyzed by age group from 22 U.S. jurisdictions that routinely linked COVID-19 case surveillance and immunization data. A life table approach incorporating line-listed and aggregated COVID-19 case datasets with vaccine administration and U.S. Census data was used to estimate hazard rates of SARS-CoV-2 infections, hazard rate ratios (HRR) and percent reductions in hazard rate comparing unvaccinated people to people vaccinated with a Pfizer-BioNTech primary series only, by age group and time since vaccination. RESULTS: The percent reduction in hazard rates for persons 2 weeks after vaccination with a Pfizer-BioNTech primary series compared with unvaccinated persons was lowest among children aged 5-11 years at 35.5% (95% CI: 33.3%, 37.6%) compared to the older age groups, which ranged from 68.7%-89.6%. By 19 weeks after vaccination, all age groups showed decreases in the percent reduction in the hazard rates compared with unvaccinated people; with the largest declines observed among those aged 5-11 and 12-17 years and more modest declines observed among those 18 years and older. CONCLUSIONS: The decline in vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection observed in this study is consistent with other studies and demonstrates that national case surveillance data were useful for assessing early signals in age-specific waning of vaccine protection during the initial period of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant predominance. The potential for waning immunity during the Omicron period emphasizes the importance of continued monitoring and consideration of optimal timing and provision of booster doses in the future.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas , Criança , Humanos , Idoso , Vacina BNT162 , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Tábuas de Vida , SARS-CoV-2
16.
J Biol Chem ; 299(10): 105167, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37595873

RESUMO

Microbial extracellular reduction of insoluble compounds requires soluble electron shuttles that diffuse in the environment, freely diffusing cytochromes, or direct contact with cellular conductive appendages that release or harvest electrons to assure a continuous balance between cellular requirements and environmental conditions. In this work, we produced and characterized the three cytochrome domains of PgcA, an extracellular triheme cytochrome that contributes to Fe(III) and Mn(IV) oxides reduction in Geobacter sulfurreducens. The three monoheme domains are structurally homologous, but their heme groups show variable axial coordination and reduction potential values. Electron transfer experiments monitored by NMR and visible spectroscopy show the variable extent to which the domains promiscuously exchange electrons while reducing different electron acceptors. The results suggest that PgcA is part of a new class of cytochromes - microbial heme-tethered redox strings - that use low-complexity protein stretches to bind metals and promote intra- and intermolecular electron transfer events through its cytochrome domains.

17.
medRxiv ; 2023 May 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37292707

RESUMO

Background: Uptake of COVID-19 bivalent vaccines and oral medication nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid) has remained low across the United States. Assessing the public health impact of increasing uptake of these interventions in key risk groups can guide further public health resources and policy. Methods: This modeling study used person-level data from the California Department of Public Health on COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and vaccine administration from July 23, 2022 to January 23, 2023. We modeled the impact of additional uptake of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir during acute illness in different risk groups defined by age (50+, 65+, 75+ years) and vaccination status (everyone, primary series only, previously vaccinated). We predicted the number of averted COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths and number needed to treat (NNT). Results: For both bivalent vaccines and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir, the most efficient strategy (based on NNT) for averting severe COVID-19 was targeting the 75+ years group. We predicted that perfect coverage of bivalent boosters in the 75+ years group would avert 3,920 hospitalizations (95%UI: 2,491-4,882; 7.8% total averted; NNT 387) and 1,074 deaths (95%UI: 774-1,355; 16.2% total averted; NNT 1,410). Perfect uptake of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in the 75+ years group would avert 5,644 hospitalizations (95%UI: 3,947-6,826; 11.2% total averted; NNT 11) and 1,669 deaths (95%UI: 1,053-2,038; 25.2% total averted; NNT 35). Conclusions: These findings suggest prioritizing uptake of bivalent boosters and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir among the oldest age groups would be efficient and have substantial public health impact in reducing the burden of severe COVID-19, but would not address the entire burden of severe COVID-19.

18.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(25): 683-689, 2023 Jun 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37347715

RESUMO

Although reinfections with SARS-CoV-2 have occurred in the United States with increasing frequency, U.S. epidemiologic trends in reinfections and associated severe outcomes have not been characterized. Weekly counts of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections, total infections, and associated hospitalizations and deaths reported by 18 U.S. jurisdictions during September 5, 2021-December 31, 2022, were analyzed overall, by age group, and by five periods of SARS-CoV-2 variant predominance (Delta and Omicron [BA.1, BA.2, BA.4/BA.5, and BQ.1/BQ.1.1]). Among reported reinfections, weekly trends in the median intervals between infections and frequencies of predominant variants during previous infections were calculated. As a percentage of all infections, reinfections increased substantially from the Delta (2.7%) to the Omicron BQ.1/BQ.1.1 (28.8%) periods; during the same periods, increases in the percentages of reinfections among COVID-19-associated hospitalizations (from 1.9% [Delta] to 17.0% [Omicron BQ.1/BQ.1.1]) and deaths (from 1.2% [Delta] to 12.3% [Omicron BQ.1/BQ.1.1]) were also substantial. Percentages of all COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths that were reinfections were consistently higher across variant periods among adults aged 18-49 years compared with those among adults aged ≥50 years. The median interval between infections ranged from 269 to 411 days by week, with a steep decline at the start of the BA.4/BA.5 period, when >50% of reinfections occurred among persons previously infected during the Alpha variant period or later. To prevent severe COVID-19 outcomes, including those following reinfection, CDC recommends staying up to date with COVID-19 vaccination and receiving timely antiviral treatments, when eligible.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Adolescente , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Hospitalização/tendências , Reinfecção/epidemiologia , Mortalidade Hospitalar
19.
J Acad Mark Sci ; : 1-23, 2023 May 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37359265

RESUMO

Do stronger relationships with customers (customer-company relationships [CCR]) help firms better weather economic crises? To answer this question, we examine firm performance during the stock market crashes associated with the two most severe economic crises of the last 15 years-the protracted Great Recession crisis (2008-2009) and the shorter but extreme COVID-19 pandemic crisis (2020). Juxtaposing the predominant expected utility theory perspective with observed deviations in investor behavior during crises, we find that both pre-crash firm-level customer satisfaction and customer loyalty are positively associated with abnormal stock returns and lower idiosyncratic risk during a market crash, while pre-crash firm-level customer complaint rate negatively affects abnormal stock returns and increases idiosyncratic risk. On average, we find that one standard deviation higher CCR is associated with between $0.9 billion and $2.4 billion in market capitalization on an annualized basis. Importantly, we find that these effects are weaker for firms with higher market share during the COVID-19 crash, but not during the Great Recession crash. These results are found to be robust to a variety of alternate model specifications, time periods, sub-samples, accounting for firm strategies during the crises, and endogeneity corrections. When compared to relevant non-crash periods, we also find that such effects are equally strong during the Great Recession crash and even stronger during the COVID-19 pandemic crash. Contributing to both the marketing-finance interface literature and the nascent literature on marketing during economic crises, implications from these findings are provided for researchers, marketing theory, and managers. Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11747-023-00947-1.

20.
Data Brief ; 48: 109123, 2023 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37128580

RESUMO

This article provides a sample of survey data collected by the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI). Using online sampling and stratified interviewing techniques of actual customers of predominantly large market-share ("large cap") companies, the ACSI annually collects data from some 400,000 consumers residing across the United States for more than 400 companies within about 50 consumer industries. For this article and the data depository, consumers' perceptions of their experiences with individual companies included within four consumer industries as defined and measured by ACSI - processed food, commercial airlines, Internet service providers, and commercial banks - are included in the dataset. These industries were chosen to represent and illustrate a cross-section of data from differentiated sectors, not because they are representative of the larger economy or larger ACSI dataset per se. The survey items reflect a diverse array of customers' perceptions regarding prior expectations, perceived quality, perceived value, customer satisfaction, complaint behavior, and customer loyalty. These are also the core latent factors modeled in the so-called ACSI model since 1994. The ACSI model is continuously analyzed using a proprietary and patented Partial Least Squares structural equation modeling approach (PLS-SEM). Detailed firm- or brand-level results from the ACSI data are used by individual companies for strategic organizational decision-making and in the aggregate to forecast trends in the U.S. national economy. ACSI data have been analyzed in thousands of peer-reviewed academic and practitioner journal articles.

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